:Issued: 2007 Jan 03 1224 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 70103
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 03 Jan 2007, 1205UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 03 Jan 2007 until 05 Jan 2007)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 028
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 031
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jan 2007  10CM FLUX: 094 / AP: 021
COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain predominantly
active with further periods of minor storming expected, due to the
influence of the fast stream from the recurrent coronal hole. Compared
with ACE data from previous rotations it appears the hole has further
developed as the solar wind speed has now increased to almost 700km/s;
though the IMF remains weakly fluctuating around zero, only modest
enhancements would be needed to lead to minor storming. Solar activity
is expected to remain quiet with NOAA AR 0933 retaining the potential
for an isolated C-class event. A large bipolar un-numbered region now
fully over the E limb may possibly lead to increased activity over the
coming days.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 027, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 2 Jan 2007
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 044
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 090
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 040
AK WINGST              : ///
ESTIMATED AP           : 026
ESTIMATED ISN          : 026, BASED ON 10 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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