:Issued: 2007 Jan 30 1231 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 70130 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 30 Jan 2007, 1214UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 30 Jan 2007 until 01 Feb 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 026 PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Jan 2007 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 024 PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Feb 2007 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 017 COMMENT: NOAA AR 0940 was the source of C class flares during the last 24 hours. There remains a moderate chance of C class flare activity due to this active region, but the overall activity should be quiet. Geomagnetic activity was dominated by the entry of the Earth into the high speed stream due to a southern coronal hole, with minor storm conditions. It is expected that unsettled to active conditions will prevail during the next 48 hours. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 022, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 29 Jan 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 054 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 087 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 052 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 032 ESTIMATED ISN : 021, BASED ON 15 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#