:Issued: 2007 Dec 15 1301 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 71215 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Dec 2007, 1249UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Dec 2007 until 17 Dec 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Dec 2007 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2007 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2007 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 004 COMMENT: Active region NOAA0978(Cat.#64) is declining again and did not produce any C flare during the last 24 hours. It could still spawn an occasional isolated C flare. The solar wind has slowed down to 400km/s and the geomagnetic field is quiet. It should remain so until Dec. 17. Then, a recurrent fast solar wind stream will raise again the geomagnetic activity. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 021, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Dec 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 065 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 092 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 004 ESTIMATED ISN : 024, BASED ON 10 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#