:Issued: 2007 Apr 09 1033 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 70409 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Apr 2007, 1016UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Apr 2007 until 11 Apr 2007) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Apr 2007 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 024 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Apr 2007 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 024 PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Apr 2007 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 021 COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be mainly active over the coming days as the fast stream from a recurrent coronal hole has now arrived. The solar wind speed is presently ~500km/s but this is expected to increase to nearer 700km/s based on previous rotations. The IMF has been primarily northward until now and the hole looks somewhat smaller and further S than during previous rotations so it is possible that the overall impact will be less strong than previously. Solar activity is expected to remain minimal from the currently spotless sun. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 04 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Apr 2007 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : /// AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 007 AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 004 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 15 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu. # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#