:Issued: 2008 Jun 17 1248 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 80617 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 17 Jun 2008, 1239UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 17 Jun 2008 until 19 Jun 2008) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jun 2008 10CM FLUX: 066 / AP: 015 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jun 2008 10CM FLUX: 067 / AP: 016 PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jun 2008 10CM FLUX: 066 / AP: 011 COMMENT: We had active geomagnetic conditions because of the Y-shaped equatorial coronal hole. The strongest equatorial part of the hole passed already. We are now under the influence of the fast wind emanating of the two last parts of the hole. One part is in the northern hemisphere, the other in the southern hemisphere. The solar wind speed increased up to 750 km/s. The magnetic field carried by the solar wind is limited in strength. We except unsettled conditions sporadic active periods are possible. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 007, BASED ON 09 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 16 Jun 2008 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 065 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 015 ESTIMATED AP : 015 ESTIMATED ISN : 007, BASED ON 16 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#