:Issued: 2008 Aug 16 1154 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 80816 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 16 Aug 2008, 1144UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 16 Aug 2008 until 18 Aug 2008) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Aug 2008 10CM FLUX: 066 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Aug 2008 10CM FLUX: 066 / AP: 016 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Aug 2008 10CM FLUX: 066 / AP: 021 COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be very low during the next 48 hours. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be quiet during the next 24 hours and then reach unsettled to active condition levels by mid Aug. 17th or early Aug 18th. due to the recurrence of a coronal hole. The all-quiet alert is cancelled. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 11 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 15 Aug 2008 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 065 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 003 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 19 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#