:Issued: 2008 Nov 04 1222 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 81104
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 04 Nov 2008, 1209UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 04 Nov 2008 until 06 Nov 2008)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Nov 2008  10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Nov 2008  10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Nov 2008  10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 90, NOAA AR 1007, continues to produce
flaring activity up to the C level. After the partial halo CME recorded
yesterday, other CMEs associated with these flares are weak and/or
narrow. We thus do not expect any resulting geomagnetic disturbance. The
Catania sunspot group 90, NOAA AR 1007, still has a potential to produce
more C-class flares. However, as the sunspot group is approaching the
west limb, an Earth-directed CME is unlikely. The Earth is currently
inside the slow solar wind flow with weak to average interplanetary
magnetic field. The geomagnetic conditions will thus remain quiet.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 009, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 3 Nov 2008
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 070
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : ///
AK WINGST              : ///
ESTIMATED AP           : 002
ESTIMATED ISN          : 011, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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