:Issued: 2008 Feb 05 1251 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 80205 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Feb 2008, 1238UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Feb 2008 until 07 Feb 2008) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Feb 2008 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Feb 2008 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 004 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Feb 2008 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 004 COMMENT: Two filament ejections occured just East of disc center on Feb.3, 23:30 and on Feb.4, 8:30 UT. The second one spawned a faint Earth-directed semi-halo CME seen in LASCO C2 images on Feb.4, 9:30UT. Its speed is estimated at about 350km/s. Therefore, it is unlikely that this subtle event will be geoeffective. The solar wind speed is now declining below 400km/s and quiet geomagnetic conditions should prevail. An All-Quiet alert has thus been issued. Starting on Feb.8, a new recurrent coronal hole disturbance will again raise the geomagnetic activity to active levels. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 04 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Feb 2008 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 014 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 071 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 012 ESTIMATED AP : 010 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 07 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#