:Issued: 2008 Jan 05 1209 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 80105 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Jan 2008, 1159UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Jan 2008 until 07 Jan 2008) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Jan 2008 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 020 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Jan 2008 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 019 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Jan 2008 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 013 COMMENT: The first solar-cycle-24 sunspot group has further developed and is now numbered as NOAA active region 981. No flaring activity is expected in the coming few days. Meanwhile the solar wind has increased roughly from 300 to 600 km/s, due to a recurrent coronal hole, and has triggered geomagnetic activity at the K=4 level. These active geomagnetic conditions are expected to persists till early next week. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 009, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Jan 2008 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 024 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 079 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 018 ESTIMATED AP : 009 ESTIMATED ISN : 008, BASED ON 12 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#