:Issued: 2009 Aug 17 1231 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 90817 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 17 Aug 2009, 1220UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 17 Aug 2009 until 19 Aug 2009) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Aug 2009 10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Aug 2009 10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 015 PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Aug 2009 10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 005 COMMENT: Solar activity is quiet and is expected to remain so. The Earth is currently inside the slow solar wind flow (290 km/s) with average magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (4 nT). We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours. The arrival of the fast solar wind flow from a low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere is expected on August 18. Disturbed geomagnetic conditions up to the minor storm level are possible. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 17 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 16 Aug 2009 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 069 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 003 ESTIMATED AP : 001 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 30 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#