:Issued: 2009 Nov 05 1229 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 91105 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Nov 2009, 1218UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Nov 2009 until 07 Nov 2009) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Nov 2009 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Nov 2009 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Nov 2009 10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 003 COMMENT: A small sunspot group (Catania number 23) emerged in the northern solar hemisphere. We do not expect it to produce any noticeable flaring activity. A small low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere reached the solar central meridian yesterday. A fast solar wind stream from this coronal hole may arrive to the Earth on November 7. Due to a small size of the coronal hole, we do not expect any significant geomagnetic disturbance. The solar wind speed at Earth is currently low (around 300 km/s) and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is average (around 5 nT). We thus do not expect any geomagnetic disturbance. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 008, BASED ON 07 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Nov 2009 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 000 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 071 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 001 ESTIMATED AP : 001 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 15 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#