:Issued: 2009 Dec 05 1225 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 91205 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Dec 2009, 1214UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Dec 2009 until 07 Dec 2009) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 005 COMMENT: There is some enhanced activity coming up at the East limb of the Sun. However, no sunspot was observed yet. We thus still expect low solar activity. The solar wind is still in a very low regime, with speeds as low as 230km/s over the last 24 hours. Still, the interplanetary magnetic field strength increased over the last few hours heralding the arrival of a weak fast stream linked to the small coronal hole now seen in the Western side of the solar disk. We expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions over the next 24 to 48 hours, with possible short active intervals mainly in the first 24 hours. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 04 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Dec 2009 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 072 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 000 ESTIMATED AP : 001 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 10 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#