:Issued: 2009 Dec 15 1241 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 91215 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Dec 2009, 1228UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Dec 2009 until 17 Dec 2009) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 081 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2009 10CM FLUX: 081 / AP: 012 COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be mostly quiet during the next 48 hours. There is a chance of C-class flaring activity from the new NOAA AR 1035 which appeared north of AR 1034. Both are crossing the central meridian. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be quiet for the next 24 hours with an increased risk of unsettled conditions on Dec. 17th due to a small coronal hole. The all-quiet alert is suspended. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 023, BASED ON 10 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Dec 2009 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 079 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 005 ESTIMATED ISN : 020, BASED ON 17 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#