:Issued: 2009 Feb 04 1336 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 90204 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 04 Feb 2009, 1325UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 04 Feb 2009 until 06 Feb 2009) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Feb 2009 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 015 PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Feb 2009 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Feb 2009 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 001 COMMENT: Since last midnight, An expected disturbance in the solar wind has triggered geomagnetic activity at the Kp=4 level (active geomagnetic conditions). We presume this disturbance corresponds to a small, undetected CME. In this case we expect to return to quiet geomagnetic conditions later today. The SIDC ALL QUIET ALERT was halted because of this event. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 08 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 3 Feb 2009 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 000 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 069 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 005 ESTIMATED AP : 004 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 10 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#