:Issued: 2010 May 19 1158 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00519 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 19 May 2010, 1156UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 19 May 2010 until 21 May 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 19 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 20 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 019 PREDICTIONS FOR 21 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 011 COMMENT: A co-rotating interaction region linked with a coronal hole has arrived. The solar wind is more dense and has a stronger magnetic field, up to 10 nT. The geomagnetic response is limited because of the positive Bz component. We expect the arrival of the fast solar wind emenating from the southern coronal hole tomorrow. Active conditions are possible. Flaring conditions are quiet. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 13 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 18 May 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 000 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 069 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 008 AK WINGST : 008 ESTIMATED AP : 006 ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 21 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#