:Issued: 2010 May 29 1328 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00529 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 29 May 2010, 1315UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 29 May 2010 until 31 May 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 29 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 035 PREDICTIONS FOR 30 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 013 PREDICTIONS FOR 31 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 016 COMMENT: A C-class flare is unlikely to occur in any of the three sunspot groups present on the solar disk (Catania numbers 74, 76 and 77). In the evening of May 28, an interplanetary magnetic cloud has arrived to the Earth. The magnetic field in the cloud quickly became southward, and the magnitude of the north-south component reached -14 nT. However, the solar wind speed remained low (around 360 km/s), so only minor geomagnetic storm conditions resulted. The magnetic cloud was most probably associated with the halo CME observed on the Sun on May 23. A minor geomagnetic storm is currently ongoing. It may last for several hours more. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 019, BASED ON 10 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 28 May 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 022 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 073 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 024 AK WINGST : 014 ESTIMATED AP : 013 ESTIMATED ISN : 008, BASED ON 17 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#