:Issued: 2010 Jun 08 1248 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00608 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Jun 2010, 1230UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Jun 2010 until 10 Jun 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jun 2010 10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jun 2010 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jun 2010 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 005 COMMENT: Solar activity is still very low, but three new small sunspot groups emerged on the solar disk over the last 24 hours. The most developed one, Catania #81, has now grown to B-type. During this early growth phase, one can expect a few C flares from any of those new active regions. The solar wind is stable around 400km/s, but there is still a risk of a fast stream reaching the Earth over the next 24 hours, due to a geoeffective coronal hole on the Sun. The current quiet geomagnetic field may thus become unsettled to active during a few hours, before returning to quiet conditions on day 3 (June 10). TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 009, BASED ON 13 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 7 Jun 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 025 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 069 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 009 AK WINGST : 006 ESTIMATED AP : 006 ESTIMATED ISN : 007, BASED ON 29 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#