:Issued: 2010 Jan 16 1228 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00116 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 16 Jan 2010, 1215UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 16 Jan 2010 until 18 Jan 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 012 COMMENT: We expect mostly quiet space weather conditions for the next 48 hours. There is still a risk of C flares from NOAA AR 1040. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be quiet for the next 24 hours. Isolated unsettled conditions might occur on Jan. 18th due to a coronal hole that will reach geoeffective longitudes. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 018, BASED ON 02 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 15 Jan 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 085 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 007 ESTIMATED AP : 005 ESTIMATED ISN : 017, BASED ON 10 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#