:Issued: 2010 Jul 08 1222 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 00708
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Jul 2010, 1213UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Jul 2010 until 10 Jul 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Jul 2010  10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 009
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Jul 2010  10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Jul 2010  10CM FLUX: 077 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 93 (NOAA AR 1084) is unlikely to produce
a C-flare. A returning active region currently behind the eastern limb
(NOAA AR 1082 during the previous rotation) produced several B-class
flares in less than 24 hours. A C-flare is thus possible as this active
region will soon come from behind the solar limb. The Earth is currently
inside the slow (330 km/s) solar wind flow with weak (2-3 nT)
interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic
conditions in the next 48 hours.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 007, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 7 Jul 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 022
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 074
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 005
AK WINGST              : 002
ESTIMATED AP           : 001
ESTIMATED ISN          : 007, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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