:Issued: 2010 Aug 17 1230 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 00817
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 17 Aug 2010, 1225UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 17 Aug 2010 until 19 Aug 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Aug 2010  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Aug 2010  10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Aug 2010  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 004
COMMENT: A moderate change (40%) for mild geomagnetic activity (Kp=4)
is expected later today, as a consequence of the Aug 14 eruption.
Flaring potential has decreased an no C-flares or higher are expected in
the coming days.


TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 016, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 16 Aug 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 062
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 085
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 010
AK WINGST              : 008
ESTIMATED AP           : 006
ESTIMATED ISN          : 033, BASED ON 16 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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