:Issued: 2010 Jan 26 1303 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00126 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 26 Jan 2010, 1255UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 26 Jan 2010 until 28 Jan 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 002 COMMENT: Two sunspot groups are currently present on the solar disk: Catania numbers 37 and 38 (NOAA ARs 1041 and 1042 respectively). A C-flare is possible but unlikely due to the low X-ray flux background level (around A8) and the X-ray flux low variability during the past 48 hours. The Earth is currently inside the slow (speed around 380 km/s) solar wind flow with average (4-5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic activity is expected to remain on the quiet level. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 019, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 25 Jan 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 041 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 081 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 004 ESTIMATED AP : 004 ESTIMATED ISN : 025, BASED ON 07 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#