:Issued: 2010 Oct 06 1252 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 01006
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 06 Oct 2010, 1236UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 06 Oct 2010 until 08 Oct 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Oct 2010  10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Oct 2010  10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Oct 2010  10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 005
COMMENT: A filament eruption occurred this morning around 2h08 UT. It
was clearly observed in SDO/AIA 304 and 193 images. Linked to this
event, there was a long duration B-flare measured by GOES. STEREO-A/COR2
chronograph images show an associated CME around 6h54 UT. Also
SOHO/LASCO observed this CME around 7h34 UT. While STEREO images
indicate this CME is headed towards earth, LASCO shows that it is more
north-east directed. We thus expect that it will mostly miss Earth when
it will arrive at the Earth's orbit (in ~3 days).
Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet, but might increase up to
unsettled levels when a coronal hole wind stream will arrive late on
october 8.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 000, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 5 Oct 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 075
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 009
AK WINGST              : 005
ESTIMATED AP           : 005
ESTIMATED ISN          : 006, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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