:Issued: 2010 Jan 29 1216 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00129 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 29 Jan 2010, 1209UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 29 Jan 2010 until 31 Jan 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 004 PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Jan 2010 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 003 COMMENT: The only sunspot group on the solar disk (Catania number 37, NOAA AR 1041) is decaying. The background solar X-ray flux is decreasing, and a C-class flare is unlikely. The Earth is currently inside the slow (around 350 km/s) solar wind flow with average (5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 008, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 28 Jan 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 017 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 076 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 006 ESTIMATED AP : 003 ESTIMATED ISN : 008, BASED ON 09 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#