:Issued: 2010 Oct 26 1259 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 01026 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 26 Oct 2010, 1248UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 26 Oct 2010 until 28 Oct 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 008 PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 007 COMMENT: NOAA AR 1117 has produced two C-class flares in the last 24 hours (a C1.1 flare peaking at 01:13 UT on Oct 26, and a C2.3 flare peaking at 22:06 UT on Oct 25). A third C1.0 flare with maximum at 08:14 UT was associated to NOAA AR 1119. C-class flares can be expected from these two active regions (NOAA AR 1115 has small chances of participating in the flare production) and AR 1117 could reach the M-class level. A CME related to a prominence eruption was detected early on Oct 25 (during a LASCO data gap), the bulk of the CME was travelling to the east and should not produce consequences at the Earth. The solar wind speed is still high at ACE, unsettled conditions are expected today and quiet starting tomorrow. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 042, BASED ON 08 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 25 Oct 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 079 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 086 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 016 AK WINGST : 010 ESTIMATED AP : 008 ESTIMATED ISN : 042, BASED ON 23 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#