:Issued: 2010 Nov 05 1314 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 01105
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Nov 2010, 1254UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Nov 2010 until 07 Nov 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Nov 2010  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Nov 2010  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Nov 2010  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 004
COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 59 (NOAA AR 1121) produced an M1.6 flare
peaking at 23:58 UT yesterday, followed by a C9.7 flare peaking at 00:56
UT today. Another M-class flare may occur in this active region in the
next 48 hours. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 300 km/s)
solar wind flow with average (4 nT) interplanetary magnetic field
magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 016, BASED ON 03 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Nov 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 026
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 079
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 005
AK WINGST              : 003
ESTIMATED AP           : 003
ESTIMATED ISN          : 014, BASED ON 13 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
04  2330  2358 0012 S20E76 M1.6 SF                                  59 1121                     
END
BT
 
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