:Issued: 2010 Nov 15 1323 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 01115 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Nov 2010, 1224UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Nov 2010 until 17 Nov 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Nov 2010 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 016 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Nov 2010 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 018 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Nov 2010 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to reach eruptive levels with risks of C-class flares from NOAA AR 1124. This region produced a C2.3 flare on Nov. 15th, peaking at 07:49 UT. Geomagnetic activity is expected to reach active conditions on Nov. 15 or 16th due to the arrival of a CME. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 039, BASED ON 10 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Nov 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 086 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 016 AK WINGST : 010 ESTIMATED AP : 009 ESTIMATED ISN : 041, BASED ON 07 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#