:Issued: 2010 Feb 02 1308 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 00202
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 02 Feb 2010, 1256UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 02 Feb 2010 until 04 Feb 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 001
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be low, NOAA AR 1043 can produce
isolated C-class flares. A CME erupted from the western solar limb
yesterday, the starting time was located between 08:30 and 19:30 UT
(data gap), probably around 16:00 UT. It is not believed to be
geoeffective, but probably a shock will arrive to the Earth. Geomagnetic
activity is expected to be at quiet levels, with possible unsettled
periods due to a moderately high speed (~475 km/s) solar wind stream.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 008, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 1 Feb 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 029
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 075
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : ///
AK WINGST              : 012
ESTIMATED AP           : 009
ESTIMATED ISN          : 010, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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