:Issued: 2010 Dec 15 1317 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 01215
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Dec 2010, 1311UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Dec 2010 until 17 Dec 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 007
COMMENT: A long duration C2 flare erupted yesterday afternoon
(15h00-18h00) in the NW quadrant. SWAP movies show a spectacular
filament eruption and LASCO C2 confirms a non-geoeffective CME. Early
this morning (06:27) NOAA AR 11135 (NE) produced a C5.3 flare. More
C-flaring can be expected from this region. Geomagnetic activity is
expected to remain low as the solar wind speed peaked yesterday at
600km/s and is deecreasing since then.


TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 010, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Dec 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 033
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 090
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : ///
AK WINGST              : 019
ESTIMATED AP           : 015
ESTIMATED ISN          : 015, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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