:Issued: 2010 Feb 06 1247 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 00206
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 06 Feb 2010, 1224UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 06 Feb 2010 until 08 Feb 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 009
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be at active levels during the
next 48 hours. A new active region appeared on Feb. 5th at about N25E35,
and currently displays sunspots as observed by the Catania observatory
on Feb. 6th. A C1 flare occurred in this region on Feb. 6th at 10:48UT
(peak time) and another flare, peaking around C3 at about 6UT is likely
to originate from the same region, although a data gap prevents to
confirm this fact at the time of this message. Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be mostly quiet during the next 48 hours. ACE data currently
show some negative excursions of the Bz value down to -5nT which might
induce some isolated unsettled conditions.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 023, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 5 Feb 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 078
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : ///
AK WINGST              : 003
ESTIMATED AP           : 002
ESTIMATED ISN          : 007, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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