:Issued: 2010 Feb 08 1409 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 00208
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 08 Feb 2010, 1347UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 08 Feb 2010 until 10 Feb 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Major geomagnetic storm expected (A>=50 or K>=6)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 020
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Feb 2010  10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 025
COMMENT: Solar activity stays at active levels: NOAA AR 1045 released
today, Feb 08 more M-flares: an M4.0 flare peaking at 07:42UT
(information from IPS flare report), an M2.1 flare peaking at 12:47UT
(information from 1 min GOES-14 X-ray Flux data). The first glimpse of a
CME is visible in STEREO Ahead COR2 pictures at 06:39 UT. The CME
propagates towards the Earth. Geomagnetic activity is expected to
increase to major storm level on Feb 09 as consequence of the arrival of
the halo CME associated with the M6.4 flare on Feb 07, peaking at
02:34UR. More geomagnetic disturbances can be expected as the CME seen
by STEREO reaches Earth.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 036, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 7 Feb 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 090
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : ///
AK WINGST              : 005
ESTIMATED AP           : 004
ESTIMATED ISN          : 024, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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