:Issued: 2010 Feb 13 1252 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00213 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 13 Feb 2010, 1238UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 13 Feb 2010 until 15 Feb 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 002 PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 007 COMMENT: COR2 on STEREO Ahead spotted a CME on Feb 12. This CME came into the field of view of COR2 around 8:00UT. This CME is not associated with the M8.3 flare on Feb 12 peaking at 11:26UT. M-flares are possible, a small chance for X-flares exist. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 026, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 12 Feb 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 041 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 096 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 006 ESTIMATED AP : 006 ESTIMATED ISN : 024, BASED ON 12 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE 12 1119 1126 1128 N26E11 M8.3 1N 350 V/3 41 1046 12 1752 1808 1815 N28W53 M1.1 2F 40 1045 END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#