:Issued: 2010 Feb 16 1249 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00216 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 16 Feb 2010, 1237UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 16 Feb 2010 until 18 Feb 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 014 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Feb 2010 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 003 COMMENT: STEREO-B observed a CME at 8h39 UT this morning that may influence the Earth's geomagnetic conditions in the coming days. STEREO has also observed several CME's during the past 48h that were not earth-directed. No significant flares were observed since Februari 14. The CME front that arrived yesterday evening, caused unsettled magnetic conditions. Also in the coming days unsettled conditions are possible. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 020, BASED ON 04 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 15 Feb 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 039 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 088 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 013 ESTIMATED AP : 015 ESTIMATED ISN : 019, BASED ON 12 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#