:Issued: 2010 Mar 12 1248 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00312 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 12 Mar 2010, 1237UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 12 Mar 2010 until 14 Mar 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 010 PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 002 PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 001 COMMENT: Solar activity is low. Catania region 51 was numbered NOAA 11055, together with NOAA 11054 (Catania 52) are the two active regions visible on the disc. They don't have potential for big flares at this time, even though AR 11054 is growing in size. There was an east limb CME yesterday at 20:06 UT detected by CACTUS, it is not expected to be geoeffective. Geomagnetic activity is quiet and will most likely remain so as the effect from the fast coronal hole solar wind is diminishing, there was one active period (Kp=4) early today. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 023, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 11 Mar 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 032 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 084 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 012 ESTIMATED AP : 010 ESTIMATED ISN : 021, BASED ON 16 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#