:Issued: 2010 Mar 15 1249 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00315 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Mar 2010, 1229UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Mar 2010 until 17 Mar 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 001 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 022 COMMENT: There is no more growth in active region NOAA11054, which did not produce significant flares over the last 24 hours. It can still produce occasional C flares with a limited possibility of an M flare. The solar wind and geomagnetic field are now very quiet. This situation is expected to continue until the arrival of the CME ejected early on March 14. This CME is expected to reach Earth by late March 16 or on March 17 and may trigger active to minor geomagnetic storm conditions. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 019, BASED ON 14 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Mar 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 089 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 007 ESTIMATED AP : 006 ESTIMATED ISN : 022, BASED ON 13 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#