:Issued: 2010 Mar 16 1257 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
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# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
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SIDC URSIGRAM 00316
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 16 Mar 2010, 1243UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 16 Mar 2010 until 18 Mar 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Mar 2010  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Mar 2010  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 022
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Mar 2010  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 005
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to remain low, with only occasional
C flares. The solar wind speed remains slow, but the arrival of an
Earth-directed CME is expected late today March 16 or tomorrow March 17.
This rather weak disturbance may trigger temporary active geomagnetic
conditions with a chance for minor geomagnetic storm levels, mainly on
March 17. Thereafter, the geomagnetic field will return to quiet to
unsettled conditions.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 021, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 15 Mar 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 026
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 086
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : ///
AK WINGST              : 004
ESTIMATED AP           : 003
ESTIMATED ISN          : 015, BASED ON 20 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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