:Issued: 2010 Mar 29 1209 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00329 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 29 Mar 2010, 1155UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 29 Mar 2010 until 31 Mar 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 005 PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 004 PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 003 COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 54 (NOAA AR 11057) is growing. It still has a beta configuration of the photospheric magnetic field, so we expect flaring activity up to the C-level. An M-flare is unlikely. The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind flow (speed around 380 km/s) with average (4 nT) magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 020, BASED ON 06 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 28 Mar 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 086 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 009 ESTIMATED ISN : 020, BASED ON 16 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#