:Issued: 2010 Mar 30 1229 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00330 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 30 Mar 2010, 1210UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 30 Mar 2010 until 01 Apr 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Mar 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 003 PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Apr 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 003 COMMENT: Catania sunspot group 54 (NOAA AR 1057) is starting to decay. An isolated C-flare is, however, still possible. A partial halo CME was observed by LASCO yesterday, starting from 08:54 UT. Its speed was around 300 km/s. Due to the absence of any associated activity on the solar disk, this CME was determined to be backside. The Earth is currently inside the slow (around 390 km/s) solar wind flow with average (4-5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. An interplanetary sector boundary was crossed by ACE yesterday around noon, but no faster solar wind stream followed up to now. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 021, BASED ON 09 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 29 Mar 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 043 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 083 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 005 ESTIMATED ISN : 020, BASED ON 12 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#