:Issued: 2010 Apr 09 1152 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 00409 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Apr 2010, 1141UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Apr 2010 until 11 Apr 2010) SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares) GEOMAGNETISM : Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Apr 2010 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 012 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Apr 2010 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 022 PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Apr 2010 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 043 COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next 48 hours. The long duration B3.7 flare of April 8, peaking at 03:25 UT was associated with a halo CME. Observations gathered from the STEREO spacecrafts and SOHO suggest that this CME is Earth-directed. We expect therefore a possible significant impact on geomagnetic conditions either on late April 10 (saturday) or more likely on April 11 (sunday). Minor storm with possibly major storm periods are possible. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 007, BASED ON 12 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Apr 2010 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : 037 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 076 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : 015 ESTIMATED AP : 013 ESTIMATED ISN : 021, BASED ON 17 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#