:Issued: 2012 Jan 17 1318 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 20117
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 17 Jan 2012, 1254UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 17 Jan 2012 until 19 Jan 2012)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 144 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 146 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 148 / AP: 004
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1401 (no Catania number yet) produced an M1.0 flare
peaking at 04:41 UT this morning. The flare does not seem to be
associated with any CME or SEP event. We expect more flaring activity up
to the M-level from this active region, as well as from NOAA AR 1402 (no
Catania number yet). The Earth is currently inside a slow (430 km/s)
solar wind flow with average (around 4 nT) interplanetary magnetic field
magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 093, BASED ON 07 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 16 Jan 2012
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 140
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 016
AK WINGST              : 010
ESTIMATED AP           : 010
ESTIMATED ISN          : 098, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
17  0441  0453 0507 N18E54 M1.0 1N                                     1401                     
END
BT
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #
#                                                                    #
# For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu              #
# Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments    #
# and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use     #
# that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead.                 #
# To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php        #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#