:Issued: 2012 Jan 02 1248 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 20102
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 02 Jan 2012, 1204UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 02 Jan 2012 until 04 Jan 2012)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 123 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 121 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Jan 2012  10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be eruptive within the next 24
hours, with high chances for C-flares, and a slight chance for an
M-flare. The main region producing flares is NOAA AR 11389, which has
produced a few C flares in the past 24 hours.
The partial halo CME detected first by LASCO C2 on January 1, 13:36 UT
was a backsided event, and is not expected to be geo-effective.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain mostly quiet during the
coming days, with possible effects from a coronal hole high speed wind
stream.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 064, BASED ON 04 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 1 Jan 2012
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 130
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : 008
AK WINGST              : 005
ESTIMATED AP           : 004
ESTIMATED ISN          : 048, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
31  1616  1626 1634 S26E42 M1.5 1F                                  1  1389                     
END
BT
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #
#                                                                    #
# For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu              #
# Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments    #
# and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use     #
# that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead.                 #
# To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php        #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#