COMESEP SEP forecast

Source COMESEP Consortium (PI: BIRA-IASB)
Frequency ASAP, for expected medium or stronger SEP radiation risk
Format Plain text
Mail header COMESEP SEP forecast
SIDC code comesep_sep

Latest issue

:Issued: 2017 Sep 11 0440 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.comesep.eu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# COMESEP SEP Forecast message from BIRA-IASB (Brussels, Belgium),   #
# forwarded by the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                                #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Forecast for a SEP radiation storm following a X8.9 flare with peak at 
2017-09-10 16:06UT, and a CME with lift-off at 2017-09-10 16:12UT. The 
expected risk level is MEDIUM for a SEP storm of protons > 10 MeV (occurrence 
probability: LIKELY; storm level: MINOR). The expected risk level is MEDIUM 
for a SEP storm of protons > 60 MeV (occurrence probability: LIKELY; storm 
level: MODERATE). #--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #
#                                                                    #
# For more information, see http://www.sidc.be.  Please do not reply #
# directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to     #
# 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use      #
# 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead.                                   #
# To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php        #
#                                                                    #
# Legal notices:                                                     #
# - Intellectual Property Rights:                                    #
#   http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/data-policy-en.pdf    #
# - Liability Disclaimer:                                            #
#   http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/disclaimer-en.pdf     #
# - Use and processing of your personal information:                 #
#   http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/privacy-policy-en.pdf #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

Details

This message is of the Fast Alert type.
Automated Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) radiation storm forecast for >10 MeV protons when a medium or stronger SEP storm risk is expected following detection of a >=M1 flare or a Ground Level Enhancement (GLE)
This is a prototype version automatic alert, without human intervention, and it is based upon SEP probabilities and correlations.
More information can be found at http://www.comesep.eu.