SIDC Ursigram

3-day-forecast of solar and geomagnetic activity.
Source SIDC (RWC-Belgium)
Frequency Daily
Format Encoded data (ISES)
Mail header SIDC Ursigram
SIDC code meu

Archive

Latest issue

:Issued: 2010 Mar 12 1248 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 00312
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 12 Mar 2010, 1237UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 12 Mar 2010 until 14 Mar 2010)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Mar 2010  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Mar 2010  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Mar 2010  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 001
COMMENT: Solar activity is low. Catania region 51 was numbered NOAA
11055, together with NOAA 11054 (Catania 52) are the two active regions
visible on the disc. They don't have potential for big flares at this
time, even though AR 11054 is growing in size. There was an east limb
CME yesterday at 20:06 UT detected by CACTUS, it is not expected to be
geoeffective. Geomagnetic activity is quiet and will most likely remain
so as the effect from the fast coronal hole solar wind is diminishing,
there was one active period (Kp=4) early today.


TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 023, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 11 Mar 2010
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA    : 032
10CM SOLAR FLUX        : 084
AK CHAMBON LA FORET    : ///
AK WINGST              : 012
ESTIMATED AP           : 010
ESTIMATED ISN          : 021, BASED ON 16 STATIONS.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
BT
 
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Details

The SIDC ursigram starts with the code SIDC URSIGRAM YMMDD, where
Y is the last digit of the year number,
MM is the number of the month,
DD is the day of the month.

A forecast is given on:
the global flare probability,
geomagnetic disturbances,
solar proton events.
PREDICTIONS FOR "today" : 10CM FLUX: xxx / AP: xxx
PREDICTIONS FOR "today+1": 10CM FLUX: xxx / AP: xxx
PREDICTIONS FOR "today+2": 10CM FLUX: xxx / AP: xxx
COMMENT
ESTIMATED ISN : xxx, based on xx stations.
where ISN stands for International Sunspot Number.

OBSERVED SOLAR INDICES FOR THE DAY BEFORE
SUNSPOT INDEX : xxx, the Wolf number observed by Catania
10CM SOLAR FLUX : xxx,
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : xxx,
AK WINGST : xxx,
ESTIMATED AP : xxx,
ESTIMATED ISN : xxx, based on xx stations.

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM TYPE Catania NOAA NOTE

DAY gives the day-of-the-month.
BEGIN, MAX and END give the UT time of the different phases of the X-ray output of the event.
LOC gives the location of the event in heliographic coordinates.
XRAY gives the GOES X-ray class of the event.
OP lists the optical flare class.
10cm gives the 10.7 cm radioflux output of the event.
TYPE specifies the type of radiobursts observed.
Catania gives the Catania sunspot group number where the event happened.
NOAA is the corresponding NOAA active region number.
NOTE is the header of any other type of information, e.g. if a CME was observed associated with the event.


Check the ISES code book for information on ISES codes.