COMESEP SEP forecast

Source COMESEP Consortium (PI: BIRA-IASB)
Frequency ASAP, for expected medium or stronger SEP radiation risk
Format Plain text
Mail header COMESEP SEP forecast
SIDC code comesep_sep

Latest issue

:Issued: 2023 Aug 06 0140 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.comesep.eu
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# COMESEP SEP Forecast message from BIRA-IASB (Brussels, Belgium),   #
# forwarded by the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                                #
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Forecast for a SEP radiation storm following a X1.6 flare with peak at 
2023-08-05 22:20UT, and a CME with lift-off at 2023-08-05 22:24UT. The 
expected risk level is MEDIUM for a SEP storm of protons > 10 MeV (occurrence 
probability: LIKELY; storm level: MODERATE). The expected risk level is 
MEDIUM for a SEP storm of protons > 60 MeV (occurrence probability: LIKELY; 
storm level: MODERATE). 
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Details

This message is of the Fast Alert type.
Automated Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) radiation storm forecast for >10 MeV protons when a medium or stronger SEP storm risk is expected following detection of a >=M1 flare or a Ground Level Enhancement (GLE)
This is a prototype version automatic alert, without human intervention, and it is based upon SEP probabilities and correlations.
More information can be found at http://www.comesep.eu.