Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213735          37          49          12           2           0        B2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000678779          28          55          14           3           0        B2.3
GOES Xray  =   5.48363e-08          33          59           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            37.00       51.00       10.75        1.25        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B3.6