Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213210          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000674700          28          58          12           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   4.58605e-08          54          42           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =       24.0000           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                            31.50       52.00       14.00        2.50        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.9