Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236960           2          12          61          20           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000782591          12          46          35           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   3.52352e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             5.50       27.25       53.50       12.25        1.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      M4.0