Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237832           1           6          66          21           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000796607          14          48          33           5           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.26269e-07           7          63          30           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       37.0000           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             7.00       41.50       41.00        9.00        1.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7