Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00267747           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961370           3          17          56          21           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   1.14806e-07           6          59          33           2           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.50       32.75       44.75       15.50        2.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3