Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235170           4          11          58          23           4        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000830445           4          46          42           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   5.74085e-08          30          62           8           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =       11.0000          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            15.00       44.25       31.50        8.25        1.00     B5.9
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4