Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237170           2          10          63          20           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000850863           7          50          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   8.88874e-08           5          65          26           4           0        B4.4
est. ISN   =       10.0000          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            10.75       44.00       36.00        8.00        1.25     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      B3.0